Stock Analysis

We Think Mordovia Energy Retail Company (MCX:MRSB) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

MISX:MRSB
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Mordovia Energy Retail Company Public Joint-Stock Company (MCX:MRSB) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Mordovia Energy Retail Company

What Is Mordovia Energy Retail Company's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Mordovia Energy Retail Company had ₽520.8m of debt in March 2021, down from ₽546.4m, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₽48.8m in cash leading to net debt of about ₽472.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
MISX:MRSB Debt to Equity History September 1st 2021

How Strong Is Mordovia Energy Retail Company's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mordovia Energy Retail Company had liabilities of ₽1.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₽2.18m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₽48.8m in cash and ₽915.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₽240.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Mordovia Energy Retail Company has a market capitalization of ₽570.3m, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Mordovia Energy Retail Company has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.0 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. The silver lining is that Mordovia Energy Retail Company grew its EBIT by 104% last year, which nourishing like the idealism of youth. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mordovia Energy Retail Company will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mordovia Energy Retail Company actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Happily, Mordovia Energy Retail Company's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its interest cover. We would also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like Mordovia Energy Retail Company commonly do use debt without problems. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like Mordovia Energy Retail Company is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Mordovia Energy Retail Company has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:MRSB

Mordovia Energy Retail Company

Mordovia Energy Retail Company Public Joint-Stock Company, an energy sales company, purchases and sells electricity in the wholesale and retail markets in Russia.

Good value with acceptable track record.