Stock Analysis

Did Rosseti Kuban PJSC's (MCX:KUBE) Share Price Deserve to Gain 11%?

When you buy and hold a stock for the long term, you definitely want it to provide a positive return. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Rosseti Kuban PJSC (MCX:KUBE) share price is up 11% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. Zooming in, the stock is up just 1.9% in the last year.

See our latest analysis for Rosseti Kuban PJSC

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During the five years of share price growth, Rosseti Kuban PJSC moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we'd expect the share price to be up. Since the company was unprofitable five years ago, but not three years ago, it's worth taking a look at the returns in the last three years, too. We can see that the Rosseti Kuban PJSC share price is down 3.5% in the last three years. During the same period, EPS grew by 5.7% each year. So there seems to be a mismatch between the positive EPS growth and the change in the share price, which is down -1.2% per year.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
MISX:KUBE Earnings Per Share Growth March 8th 2021

We know that Rosseti Kuban PJSC has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? This free report showing analyst revenue forecasts should help you figure out if the EPS growth can be sustained.

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What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Rosseti Kuban PJSC's TSR for the last 5 years was 26%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Rosseti Kuban PJSC provided a TSR of 4.6% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. If we look back over five years, the returns are even better, coming in at 5% per year for five years. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Rosseti Kuban PJSC better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Rosseti Kuban PJSC that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
*Interactive Brokers Rated Lowest Cost Broker by StockBrokers.com Annual Online Review 2020


Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

About MISX:KUBE

Rosseti Kuban PJSC

Rosseti Kuban PJSC, a grid company, engages in the transmission and distribution of electricity in Russia.

Second-rate dividend payer and slightly overvalued.

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