Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Public Joint Stock Company ALROSA (MCX:ALRS) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for ALROSA
What Is ALROSA's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ALROSA had debt of ₽120.2b at the end of June 2021, a reduction from ₽210.3b over a year. However, it does have ₽154.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of ₽34.5b.
How Strong Is ALROSA's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that ALROSA had liabilities of ₽127.4b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₽132.2b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₽154.7b and ₽15.9b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₽89.2b.
Given ALROSA has a humongous market capitalization of ₽1.02t, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, ALROSA also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Even more impressive was the fact that ALROSA grew its EBIT by 102% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine ALROSA's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While ALROSA has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, ALROSA generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 85% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.
Summing up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that ALROSA has ₽34.5b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of ₽152b, being 85% of its EBIT. So is ALROSA's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for ALROSA (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About MISX:ALRS
ALROSA
Public Joint Stock Company ALROSA, together with subsidiaries, operates as a diamond mining company.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.
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