Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company (Public Joint Stock Company)'s (MCX:RGSS) Business Is Trailing The Market But Its Shares Aren't

By
Simply Wall St
Published
November 10, 2021
MISX:RGSS
Source: Shutterstock

Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company (Public Joint Stock Company)'s (MCX:RGSS) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Russia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 9x and even P/E's below 5x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company

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MISX:RGSS Price Based on Past Earnings November 11th 2021
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 72%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in EPS being achieved in total. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Rosgosstrakh Insurance Company. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that sit on P/E's below 20x and have grown earnings strongly.

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