Stock Analysis

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Surgutneftegas' (MCX:SNGS) Stock Year Be Happy With The Share price Today?

MISX:SNGS
Source: Shutterstock

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Surgutneftegas Public Joint Stock Company (MCX:SNGS) share price slid 27% over twelve months. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 4.1%. The silver lining (for longer term investors) is that the stock is still 18% higher than it was three years ago. It's down 3.7% in the last seven days.

View our latest analysis for Surgutneftegas

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Even though the Surgutneftegas share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. Of course, the situation might betray previous over-optimism about growth.

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

Given the yield is quite low, at 1.8%, we doubt the dividend can shed much light on the share price. In contrast, the 23% drop in revenue is a real concern. Many investors see falling revenue as a likely precursor to lower earnings, so this could well explain the weak share price.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
MISX:SNGS Earnings and Revenue Growth January 21st 2021

We know that Surgutneftegas has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Surgutneftegas' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

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A Different Perspective

Investors in Surgutneftegas had a tough year, with a total loss of 26% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 4.1%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 2%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Surgutneftegas better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Surgutneftegas , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on RU exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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