Stock Analysis

Something To Consider Before Buying Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d. (BELEX:NIIS) For The 6.3% Dividend

BELEX:NIIS
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Could Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d. (BELEX:NIIS) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Yet sometimes, investors buy a popular dividend stock because of its yield, and then lose money if the company's dividend doesn't live up to expectations.

With a goodly-sized dividend yield despite a relatively short payment history, investors might be wondering if Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d is a new dividend aristocrat in the making. It sure looks interesting on these metrics - but there's always more to the story. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Explore this interactive chart for our latest analysis on Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d!

historic-dividend
BELEX:NIIS Historic Dividend January 15th 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Although it reported a loss over the past 12 months, Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d currently pays a dividend. When a company recently reported a loss, we should investigate if its cash flows covered the dividend.

Unfortunately, while Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d pays a dividend, it also reported negative free cash flow last year. While there may be a good reason for this, it's not ideal from a dividend perspective.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

One of the major risks of relying on dividend income, is the potential for a company to struggle financially and cut its dividend. Not only is your income cut, but the value of your investment declines as well - nasty. Looking at the last decade of data, we can see that Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d paid its first dividend at least eight years ago. It's good to see that Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d has been paying a dividend for a number of years. However, the dividend has been cut at least once in the past, and we're concerned that what has been cut once, could be cut again. During the past eight-year period, the first annual payment was дин75.8 in 2013, compared to дин40.0 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 7.7% a year during that period. Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 7.7% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.

We struggle to make a case for buying Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d for its dividend, given that payments have shrunk over the past eight years.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. It's not great to see that Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d's have fallen at approximately 7.8% over the past five years. If earnings continue to decline, the dividend may come under pressure. Every investor should make an assessment of whether the company is taking steps to stabilise the situation.

Conclusion

To summarise, shareholders should always check that Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d's dividends are affordable, that its dividend payments are relatively stable, and that it has decent prospects for growing its earnings and dividend. We're a bit uncomfortable with the company paying a dividend while being loss-making, although at least the dividend was covered by free cash flow. Earnings per share are down, and Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d's dividend has been cut at least once in the past, which is disappointing. In summary, Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d has a number of shortcomings that we'd find it hard to get past. Things could change, but we think there are a number of better ideas out there.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Naftna Industrija Srbije a.d that investors should take into consideration.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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