Stock Analysis

Digi Communications' (BVB:DIGI) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

BVB:DIGI
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The subdued market reaction suggests that Digi Communications N.V.'s (BVB:DIGI) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

Check out our latest analysis for Digi Communications

earnings-and-revenue-history
BVB:DIGI Earnings and Revenue History August 21st 2022

Zooming In On Digi Communications' Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

For the year to June 2022, Digi Communications had an accrual ratio of 0.20. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of €48.3m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through €244m in the last year. We saw that FCF was €60m a year ago though, so Digi Communications has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Digi Communications' Profit Performance

Digi Communications didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Digi Communications' true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Digi Communications (of which 2 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Digi Communications' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.