The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Turbomecanica SA (BVB:TBM) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
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What Is Turbomecanica's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Turbomecanica had RON25.8m of debt in September 2020, down from RON30.0m, one year before. On the flip side, it has RON3.88m in cash leading to net debt of about RON21.9m.
How Healthy Is Turbomecanica's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Turbomecanica had liabilities of RON44.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of RON9.75m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of RON3.88m as well as receivables valued at RON12.3m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling RON37.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Turbomecanica has a market capitalization of RON92.4m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Turbomecanica has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.63. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 14.1 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Turbomecanica if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 40% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Turbomecanica will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Turbomecanica recorded free cash flow of 37% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Turbomecanica's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. We think that Turbomecanica's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Turbomecanica is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About BVB:TBM
Turbomecanica
Manufactures and sells engines, mechanical assemblies, and equipment for aircraft and helicopters in Europe, Asia, and the United States.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.