Stock Analysis

Earnings are growing at Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C (DSM:QATI) but shareholders still don't like its prospects

DSM:QATI
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The main aim of stock picking is to find the market-beating stocks. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. At this point some shareholders may be questioning their investment in Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C. (DSM:QATI), since the last five years saw the share price fall 42%.

Since Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C has shed ر.ق405m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

Check out our latest analysis for Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

Arguably, the revenue drop of 6.7% a year for half a decade suggests that the company can't grow in the long term. That could explain the weak share price.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
DSM:QATI Earnings and Revenue Growth August 14th 2023

We know that Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? This free interactive report on Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

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What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 33%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While it's certainly disappointing to see that Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C shares lost 12% throughout the year, that wasn't as bad as the market loss of 17%. Given the total loss of 6% per year over five years, it seems returns have deteriorated in the last twelve months. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C you should know about.

But note: Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Qatari exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Qatar Insurance Company Q.S.P.C might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.