Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For The Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) (DSM:CBQK) After Its Second-Quarter Results
The quarterly results for The Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) (DSM:CBQK) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues came in 2.1% below expectations, at ر.ق1.1b. Statutory earnings per share were relatively better off, with a per-share profit of ر.ق0.71 being roughly in line with analyst estimates. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the consensus forecast from Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.)'s five analysts is for revenues of ر.ق4.73b in 2025. This reflects a solid 15% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to accumulate 2.2% to ر.ق0.62. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ر.ق4.66b and earnings per share (EPS) of ر.ق0.65 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.
See our latest analysis for Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.)
The consensus price target held steady at ر.ق4.85, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.), with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ر.ق5.30 and the most bearish at ر.ق3.33 per share. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.)'s rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 33% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 7.7% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 0.7% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) is expected to grow much faster than its industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.). Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Don't forget that there may still be risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.) that you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About DSM:CBQK
Commercial Bank (P.S.Q.C.)
Engages in the conventional banking, brokerage, and credit card businesses in Qatar and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.
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