Stock Analysis

Does Galp Energia SGPS (ELI:GALP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ENXTLS:GALP
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:GALP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Galp Energia SGPS

What Is Galp Energia SGPS's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Galp Energia SGPS had €3.99b of debt at December 2022, down from €4.30b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of €2.77b, its net debt is less, at about €1.22b.

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ENXTLS:GALP Debt to Equity History April 18th 2023

A Look At Galp Energia SGPS' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Galp Energia SGPS had liabilities of €4.38b due within a year, and liabilities of €6.67b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of €2.77b and €2.47b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €5.80b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of €9.28b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Galp Energia SGPS' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Galp Energia SGPS has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.37. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 34.5 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Galp Energia SGPS has boosted its EBIT by 49%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Galp Energia SGPS can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last two years, Galp Energia SGPS created free cash flow amounting to 6.6% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Galp Energia SGPS's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think Galp Energia SGPS is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Galp Energia SGPS you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.