Stock Analysis

Does Galp Energia SGPS (ELI:GALP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

ENXTLS:GALP
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (ELI:GALP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Galp Energia SGPS

What Is Galp Energia SGPS's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Galp Energia SGPS had debt of €4.51b, up from €3.29b in one year. On the flip side, it has €3.45b in cash leading to net debt of about €1.06b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ENXTLS:GALP Debt to Equity History December 20th 2022

How Strong Is Galp Energia SGPS' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Galp Energia SGPS had liabilities of €6.19b due within a year, and liabilities of €6.85b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €3.45b in cash and €2.84b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €6.75b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its very significant market capitalization of €9.90b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Galp Energia SGPS' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Galp Energia SGPS's net debt is only 0.31 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 32.7 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Even more impressive was the fact that Galp Energia SGPS grew its EBIT by 151% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Galp Energia SGPS's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Galp Energia SGPS's free cash flow amounted to 34% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Happily, Galp Energia SGPS's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that Galp Energia SGPS can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Galp Energia SGPS has 2 warning signs (and 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.