PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna S.A. (WSE:PGE), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the WSE. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Today I will analyse the most recent data on PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.
Is PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna still cheap?
Great news for investors – PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna is still trading at a fairly cheap price according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 4.85x is currently well-below the industry average of 10.55x, meaning that it is trading at a cheaper price relative to its peers. However, given that PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
Can we expect growth from PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, at least in the near future.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Although PGE is currently trading below the industry PE ratio, the adverse prospect of negative growth brings about some degree of risk. Consider whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to PGE, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on PGE for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current price multiple, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
If you want to dive deeper into PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).
If you are no longer interested in PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.