Orange Polska S.A.

WSE:OPL Stock Report

Market Cap: zł10.1b

Orange Polska Valuation

Is OPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of OPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: OPL (PLN7.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN37.63)

Significantly Below Fair Value: OPL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for OPL?

Key metric: As OPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for OPL. This is calculated by dividing OPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is OPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.9x
Earningszł784.00m
Market Capzł10.09b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does OPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for OPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average9.1x
CBF Cyber_Folks
14.8x-9.7%zł1.7b
YRL yarrl
11.5xn/azł43.1m
TLS Telestrada
5.5xn/azł36.5m
PROX Proximus
4.7x-9.2%€2.2b
OPL Orange Polska
12.9x9.5%zł10.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: OPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the peer average (9.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does OPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
OPL 12.9xIndustry Avg. 18.1xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: OPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is OPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

OPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.9x
Fair PE Ratio18.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: OPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst OPL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł7.69
zł9.22
+19.8%
14.5%zł10.70zł6.10n/a8
Nov ’25zł7.77
zł9.33
+20.1%
13.7%zł10.70zł6.10n/a9
Oct ’25zł8.42
zł9.27
+10.1%
13.9%zł10.70zł6.10n/a9
Sep ’25zł8.70
zł9.27
+6.6%
13.9%zł10.70zł6.10n/a9
Aug ’25zł7.84
zł9.18
+17.2%
13.2%zł10.50zł6.10n/a9
Jul ’25zł8.10
zł9.23
+13.9%
13.8%zł10.50zł6.10n/a8
Jun ’25zł8.20
zł9.23
+12.5%
13.8%zł10.50zł6.10n/a8
May ’25zł7.86
zł9.14
+16.3%
13.5%zł10.50zł6.10n/a8
Apr ’25zł8.10
zł8.97
+10.7%
13.5%zł9.91zł6.10n/a7
Mar ’25zł8.24
zł8.82
+7.0%
13.7%zł9.91zł6.10n/a7
Feb ’25zł8.77
zł8.67
-1.1%
13.9%zł9.91zł6.10n/a7
Jan ’25zł8.14
zł8.37
+2.8%
13.1%zł9.70zł6.10n/a7
Dec ’24zł8.07
zł8.37
+3.7%
13.1%zł9.70zł6.10n/a7
Nov ’24zł7.80
zł8.36
+7.1%
13.0%zł9.60zł6.10zł7.777
Oct ’24zł7.47
zł8.08
+8.1%
10.7%zł9.30zł6.10zł8.428
Sep ’24zł7.16
zł8.08
+12.7%
10.7%zł9.30zł6.10zł8.708
Aug ’24zł7.37
zł8.03
+8.9%
10.6%zł9.30zł6.10zł7.848
Jul ’24zł6.99
zł7.63
+9.1%
8.8%zł8.20zł6.10zł8.108
Jun ’24zł7.25
zł7.63
+5.1%
8.8%zł8.20zł6.10zł8.208
May ’24zł7.25
zł7.56
+4.3%
8.6%zł8.20zł6.10zł7.868
Apr ’24zł6.83
zł7.56
+10.8%
8.6%zł8.20zł6.10zł8.108
Mar ’24zł6.84
zł7.26
+6.0%
12.1%zł8.20zł6.00zł8.249
Feb ’24zł6.90
zł7.26
+5.2%
12.1%zł8.20zł6.00zł8.779
Jan ’24zł6.63
zł7.26
+9.5%
12.1%zł8.20zł6.00zł8.149
Dec ’23zł6.45
zł7.22
+12.0%
12.9%zł8.20zł5.70zł8.079
Nov ’23zł6.03
zł7.34
+21.7%
14.3%zł8.85zł5.70zł7.809

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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