Stock Analysis

We Think Silvair (WSE:SVRS) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

WSE:SVRS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Silvair, Inc. (WSE:SVRS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Silvair

How Much Debt Does Silvair Carry?

As you can see below, Silvair had US$3.59m of debt at September 2022, down from US$4.13m a year prior. On the flip side, it has US$649.0k in cash leading to net debt of about US$2.94m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:SVRS Debt to Equity History March 23rd 2023

A Look At Silvair's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Silvair had liabilities of US$3.20m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.49m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$649.0k as well as receivables valued at US$559.0k due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$3.48m.

Since publicly traded Silvair shares are worth a total of US$18.3m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Silvair will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Silvair reported revenue of US$1.1m, which is a gain of 99%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Silvair produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Indeed, it lost US$1.7m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$2.3m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Silvair is showing 5 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.