Amazon.com Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of AMZN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

AMZN (PLN691.3) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (PLN1240.97)

Is AMZN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMZN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMZN (PLN691.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN1240.97)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMZN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMZN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for AMZN. This is calculated by dividing AMZN's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is AMZN's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	US$1.82t

AMZN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	3.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	18.1x
PEG Ratio	2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMZN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMZN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	39.4x
ALE Allegro.eu	105x	31.8%	zł38.7b
PCO Pepco Group	20.1x	32.4%	zł10.3b
BABA Alibaba Group Holding	19.6x	18.0%	US$192.8b
PRX Prosus	13.1x	2.7%	€80.8b
AMZN Amazon.com	41x	19.6%	zł1.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMZN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41x) compared to the peer average (39.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMZN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	6.6%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMZN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (41x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMZN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMZN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	41x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AMZN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMZN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	n/a	zł846.85 0%	7.3%	zł1,022.82	zł694.75	n/a	59
Aug ’25	zł729.80	zł883.27 +21.0%	6.7%	zł992.43	zł714.55	n/a	59
Jul ’25	n/a	zł883.96 0%	6.0%	zł985.83	zł724.28	n/a	58
Jun ’25	n/a	zł865.56 0%	6.0%	zł967.87	zł711.09	n/a	57
May ’25	n/a	zł872.01 0%	6.7%	zł991.27	zł647.36	n/a	57
Apr ’25	n/a	zł826.65 0%	6.5%	zł919.86	zł599.91	n/a	56
Mar ’25	n/a	zł811.28 0%	8.2%	zł915.01	zł596.75	n/a	56
Feb ’25	n/a	zł743.25 0%	9.0%	zł927.77	zł605.07	n/a	52
Jan ’25	n/a	zł697.82 0%	10.2%	zł905.60	zł538.64	n/a	53
Dec ’24	n/a	zł691.17 0%	9.9%	zł913.91	zł543.57	n/a	52
Nov ’24	n/a	zł728.38 0%	10.1%	zł971.54	zł574.48	n/a	51
Oct ’24	n/a	zł744.86 0%	10.6%	zł1,003.40	zł588.95	n/a	49
Sep ’24	n/a	zł695.46 0%	11.2%	zł941.16	zł531.55	zł691.30	51
Aug ’24	n/a	zł589.43 0%	13.1%	zł880.97	zł396.44	zł729.80	52
Jul ’24	n/a	zł586.30 0%	13.5%	zł902.22	zł369.09	n/a	51
Jun ’24	n/a	zł584.99 0%	13.8%	zł930.09	zł380.49	n/a	47
May ’24	n/a	zł582.48 0%	14.3%	zł923.82	zł377.93	n/a	48
Apr ’24	n/a	zł608.44 0%	14.4%	zł970.95	zł397.21	n/a	49
Mar ’24	n/a	zł613.60 0%	13.9%	zł935.09	zł400.75	n/a	49
Feb ’24	n/a	zł581.54 0%	15.6%	zł899.05	zł342.50	n/a	48
Jan ’24	n/a	zł618.00 0%	17.7%	zł1,095.28	zł350.49	n/a	48
Dec ’23	n/a	zł640.67 0%	16.6%	zł1,114.28	zł459.08	n/a	47
Nov ’23	n/a	zł691.54 0%	19.0%	zł1,183.80	zł378.82	n/a	48
Oct ’23	n/a	zł856.60 0%	14.5%	zł1,334.10	zł543.52	n/a	49
Sep ’23	n/a	zł831.64 0%	14.7%	zł1,292.60	zł526.61	n/a	50

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.