Pepco Group N.V.

WSE:PCO Stock Report

Market Cap: zł8.4b

Pepco Group Valuation

Is PCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
zł18.57
Fair Value
21.4% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: PCO (PLN14.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN18.57)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCO?

Key metric: As PCO is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PCO. This is calculated by dividing PCO's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PCO's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
Sales€6.17b
Market Cap€1.96b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PCO's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.4x
ALE Allegro.eu
3x9.8%zł32.8b
CAR Inter Cars
0.4x8.0%zł7.7b
CCC CCC
1.6x11.6%zł15.8b
MO2 Moliera2
0.5xn/azł35.8m
PCO Pepco Group
0.3x3.3%zł8.4b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PCO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PCO's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Multiline Retail Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PCO 0.3xIndustry Avg. 0.8xNo. of Companies2PS00.40.81.21.62+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PCO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the European Multiline Retail industry average (0.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCO's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCO PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: PCO is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł14.60
zł23.16
+58.7%
20.9%zł31.85zł16.29n/a13
Apr ’26zł14.91
zł23.16
+55.4%
20.9%zł31.85zł16.29n/a13
Mar ’26zł16.74
zł23.60
+41.0%
22.3%zł31.73zł15.72n/a13
Feb ’26zł17.26
zł24.35
+41.1%
24.1%zł35.04zł15.92n/a13
Jan ’26zł16.42
zł25.93
+57.9%
22.5%zł35.03zł15.93n/a14
Dec ’25zł15.90
zł28.85
+81.5%
18.0%zł35.72zł15.92n/a14
Nov ’25zł17.14
zł29.73
+73.5%
13.0%zł35.81zł22.02n/a14
Oct ’25zł20.10
zł29.34
+46.0%
13.5%zł35.67zł21.81n/a14
Sep ’25zł18.04
zł29.22
+62.0%
12.8%zł34.97zł21.77n/a14
Aug ’25zł18.90
zł29.71
+57.2%
13.1%zł35.10zł21.85n/a15
Jul ’25zł20.90
zł29.78
+42.5%
13.8%zł35.30zł21.86n/a15
Jun ’25zł24.31
zł29.31
+20.5%
13.1%zł35.13zł21.76n/a15
May ’25zł19.29
zł28.43
+47.4%
17.8%zł34.77zł17.89n/a16
Apr ’25zł18.00
zł28.89
+60.5%
17.5%zł34.78zł17.90zł14.9115
Mar ’25zł20.00
zł28.89
+44.4%
17.5%zł34.78zł17.90zł16.7415
Feb ’25zł22.40
zł32.44
+44.8%
25.8%zł55.54zł18.20zł17.2616
Jan ’25zł26.06
zł31.67
+21.5%
27.1%zł54.76zł18.61zł16.4216
Dec ’24zł23.22
zł29.42
+26.7%
22.5%zł42.79zł18.58zł15.9016
Nov ’24zł17.05
zł31.80
+86.5%
25.5%zł50.10zł19.97zł17.1415
Oct ’24zł20.24
zł41.07
+102.9%
22.2%zł54.74zł23.39zł20.1015
Sep ’24zł32.70
zł46.68
+42.8%
14.7%zł60.30zł35.65zł18.0413
Aug ’24zł34.88
zł49.50
+41.9%
8.6%zł60.06zł43.30zł18.9012
Jul ’24zł36.82
zł49.85
+35.4%
7.4%zł59.54zł44.43zł20.9012
Jun ’24zł40.58
zł50.97
+25.6%
8.3%zł59.24zł45.31zł24.3110
May ’24zł39.88
zł51.99
+30.4%
8.7%zł59.90zł45.81zł19.2911
Apr ’24zł41.50
zł52.44
+26.4%
9.7%zł60.33zł46.01zł18.009
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 13 Analysts
zł23.16
Fair Value
37.0% undervalued intrinsic discount
13
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/14 01:02
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/14 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/09/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Pepco Group N.V. is covered by 21 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
James AnsteadBarclays
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Gregory SimpsonBNP Paribas Exane