Pepco Group Valuation

Is PCO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PCO (PLN18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN25.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PCO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PCO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.5x
PEG Ratio0.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PCO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PCO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average51.8x
ALE Allegro.eu
122.8x31.3%zł34.9b
CAR Inter Cars
10.2x9.2%zł8.0b
APR Auto Partner
15.7x18.2%zł3.5b
SVV Savers Value Village
58.6x32.4%US$3.1b
PCO Pepco Group
23.5x27.6%zł10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the peer average (51.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PCO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-4.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PCO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (20.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.5x
Fair PE Ratio27.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PCO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł18.00
zł28.89
+60.5%
17.5%zł35.01zł18.02n/a15
Mar ’25zł20.00
zł28.89
+44.4%
17.5%zł35.01zł18.02n/a15
Feb ’25zł22.40
zł32.43
+44.8%
25.8%zł55.54zł18.32n/a16
Jan ’25zł26.06
zł31.66
+21.5%
27.1%zł54.76zł18.61n/a16
Dec ’24zł23.22
zł29.40
+26.6%
22.5%zł42.79zł18.58n/a16
Nov ’24zł17.05
zł31.78
+86.4%
25.5%zł50.10zł19.97n/a15
Oct ’24zł20.24
zł41.05
+102.8%
22.2%zł54.74zł23.39n/a15
Sep ’24zł32.70
zł46.68
+42.8%
14.7%zł60.30zł35.65n/a13
Aug ’24zł34.88
zł49.50
+41.9%
8.6%zł60.06zł43.30n/a12
Jul ’24zł36.82
zł49.85
+35.4%
7.4%zł59.54zł44.43n/a12
Jun ’24zł40.58
zł50.97
+25.6%
8.3%zł59.24zł45.31n/a10
May ’24zł39.88
zł51.99
+30.4%
8.7%zł59.90zł45.81n/a11
Apr ’24zł41.50
zł52.44
+26.4%
9.7%zł60.33zł46.01n/a9
Mar ’24zł43.90
zł52.19
+18.9%
10.3%zł61.25zł43.78zł20.0010
Feb ’24zł42.04
zł51.30
+22.0%
9.8%zł60.68zł44.19zł22.4010
Jan ’24zł39.52
zł50.67
+28.2%
9.8%zł59.84zł43.58zł26.0610
Dec ’23zł39.24
zł52.14
+32.9%
10.4%zł61.70zł45.44zł23.229
Nov ’23zł33.58
zł51.62
+53.7%
11.7%zł61.70zł40.00zł17.058

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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