Allegro.eu Valuation

Is ALE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALE (PLN33.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN68.82)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ALE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA20.7x
PEG Ratio4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.8x
PCO Pepco Group
26.6x27.5%zł11.7b
CAR Inter Cars
9.7x9.2%zł7.6b
600415 Zhejiang China Commodities City Group
20.8x21.0%CN¥45.0b
ETSY Etsy
26.1x17.5%US$7.8b
ALE Allegro.eu
123.7x31.2%zł35.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (123.7x) compared to the peer average (20.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-5.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (123.7x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio123.7x
Fair PE Ratio30.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (123.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł33.33
zł38.60
+15.8%
10.4%zł48.00zł33.30n/a16
Apr ’25zł33.09
zł38.62
+16.7%
10.1%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Mar ’25zł31.35
zł38.40
+22.5%
10.3%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Feb ’25zł30.97
zł38.40
+24.0%
10.3%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Jan ’25zł33.33
zł38.09
+14.3%
11.5%zł48.00zł30.40n/a17
Dec ’24zł29.50
zł37.79
+28.1%
11.5%zł48.00zł30.40n/a17
Nov ’24zł30.15
zł38.86
+28.9%
10.4%zł48.00zł32.00n/a17
Oct ’24zł32.24
zł37.76
+17.2%
14.1%zł48.00zł28.00n/a17
Sep ’24zł32.65
zł37.24
+14.0%
14.7%zł48.00zł28.50n/a17
Aug ’24zł35.78
zł36.92
+3.2%
15.4%zł48.00zł28.50n/a17
Jul ’24zł32.00
zł36.72
+14.7%
15.6%zł48.00zł28.00n/a17
Jun ’24zł35.00
zł36.48
+4.2%
15.6%zł48.00zł28.00n/a16
May ’24zł32.72
zł32.52
-0.6%
18.7%zł46.00zł19.00n/a16
Apr ’24zł29.31
zł31.66
+8.0%
20.0%zł46.00zł19.00zł33.0915
Mar ’24zł28.30
zł31.72
+12.1%
20.1%zł46.00zł19.00zł31.3515
Feb ’24zł29.56
zł31.32
+6.0%
20.0%zł46.00zł19.00zł30.9715
Jan ’24zł25.13
zł29.82
+18.7%
21.2%zł46.00zł19.00zł33.3315
Dec ’23zł23.00
zł29.82
+29.7%
21.2%zł46.00zł19.00zł29.5015
Nov ’23zł23.20
zł30.57
+31.8%
22.7%zł46.00zł19.00zł30.1516
Oct ’23zł21.55
zł33.35
+54.8%
21.5%zł47.80zł23.00zł32.2416
Sep ’23zł24.21
zł34.00
+40.5%
18.9%zł47.80zł25.00zł32.6517
Aug ’23zł24.95
zł33.69
+35.0%
19.3%zł47.80zł25.00zł35.7817
Jul ’23zł23.22
zł34.71
+49.5%
18.2%zł47.80zł25.00zł32.0017
Jun ’23zł23.70
zł36.95
+55.9%
29.3%zł73.00zł26.00zł35.0017
May ’23zł23.04
zł41.59
+80.5%
26.5%zł73.00zł30.00zł32.7216
Apr ’23zł35.10
zł45.32
+29.1%
24.3%zł73.00zł30.00zł29.3115

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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