Allegro.eu Valuation

Is ALE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ALE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ALE (PLN27.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (PLN56.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ALE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ALE?

Key metric: As ALE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ALE. This is calculated by dividing ALE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ALE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio53.8x
Earningszł548.26m
Market Capzł29.47b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ALE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ALE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15x
CCC CCC
23.7x25.4%zł12.6b
CAR Inter Cars
10.7x16.7%zł7.2b
MNSO MINISO Group Holding
19.5x20.9%US$7.2b
LIVEPOL C-1 El Puerto de Liverpool. de
6.1x5.2%Mex$141.2b
ALE Allegro.eu
53.8x27.6%zł29.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.8x) compared to the peer average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ALE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ALE 53.8xIndustry Avg. 22.1xNo. of Companies24PE01632486480+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.8x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (22.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ALE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ALE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio53.8x
Fair PE Ratio24.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ALE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ALE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentzł27.89
zł38.22
+37.0%
11.1%zł45.00zł32.00n/a18
Dec ’25zł28.77
zł39.44
+37.1%
12.4%zł48.90zł32.00n/a18
Nov ’25zł35.12
zł43.25
+23.1%
8.2%zł50.00zł39.30n/a18
Oct ’25zł34.71
zł42.82
+23.4%
10.1%zł50.00zł33.30n/a18
Sep ’25zł38.07
zł42.88
+12.6%
10.7%zł51.00zł33.30n/a18
Aug ’25zł36.21
zł42.38
+17.0%
10.4%zł51.00zł33.30n/a18
Jul ’25zł37.25
zł42.38
+13.8%
10.4%zł51.00zł33.30n/a18
Jun ’25zł37.78
zł40.79
+8.0%
11.0%zł51.00zł33.30n/a18
May ’25zł34.02
zł39.31
+15.6%
11.0%zł48.00zł33.30n/a16
Apr ’25zł33.09
zł38.62
+16.7%
10.1%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Mar ’25zł31.35
zł38.40
+22.5%
10.3%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Feb ’25zł30.97
zł38.40
+24.0%
10.3%zł48.00zł33.30n/a17
Jan ’25zł33.33
zł38.09
+14.3%
11.5%zł48.00zł30.40n/a17
Dec ’24zł29.50
zł37.79
+28.1%
11.5%zł48.00zł30.40zł28.7717
Nov ’24zł30.15
zł38.86
+28.9%
10.4%zł48.00zł32.00zł35.1217
Oct ’24zł32.24
zł37.76
+17.2%
14.1%zł48.00zł28.00zł34.7117
Sep ’24zł32.65
zł37.24
+14.0%
14.7%zł48.00zł28.50zł38.0717
Aug ’24zł35.78
zł36.92
+3.2%
15.4%zł48.00zł28.50zł36.2117
Jul ’24zł32.00
zł36.72
+14.7%
15.6%zł48.00zł28.00zł37.2517
Jun ’24zł35.00
zł36.48
+4.2%
15.6%zł48.00zł28.00zł37.7816
May ’24zł32.72
zł32.52
-0.6%
18.7%zł46.00zł19.00zł34.0216
Apr ’24zł29.31
zł31.66
+8.0%
20.0%zł46.00zł19.00zł33.0915
Mar ’24zł28.30
zł31.72
+12.1%
20.1%zł46.00zł19.00zł31.3515
Feb ’24zł29.56
zł31.32
+6.0%
20.0%zł46.00zł19.00zł30.9715
Jan ’24zł25.13
zł29.82
+18.7%
21.2%zł46.00zł19.00zł33.3315
Dec ’23zł23.00
zł29.82
+29.7%
21.2%zł46.00zł19.00zł29.5015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 01:31
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Allegro.eu S.A. is covered by 30 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Andrew RossBarclays
Kamil KliszczBiuro maklerskie mBanku
Mia StraussBNP Paribas Exane