Ryohin Keikaku Co., Ltd.

TSE:7453 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥794.2b

Ryohin Keikaku Valuation

Is 7453 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 7453 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 7453 (¥3000) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥2048.83)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 7453 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 7453?

Key metric: As 7453 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 7453. This is calculated by dividing 7453's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 7453's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.1x
EarningsJP¥41.57b
Market CapJP¥794.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 7453's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 7453 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average18.1x
3099 Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
12.3x-1.1%JP¥809.9b
3086 J. Front Retailing
9.5x-6.4%JP¥437.3b
4385 Mercari
25x16.4%JP¥339.4b
7532 Pan Pacific International Holdings
25.8x9.7%JP¥2.2t
7453 Ryohin Keikaku
19.1x3.8%JP¥794.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 7453 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 7453's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
7453 19.1xIndustry Avg. 13.9xNo. of Companies5PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 7453 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the JP Multiline Retail industry average (13.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 7453's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

7453 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 7453 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 7453 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥3,000.00
JP¥3,315.38
+10.5%
12.2%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a13
Nov ’25JP¥2,468.00
JP¥3,261.54
+32.2%
11.4%JP¥4,000.00JP¥2,700.00n/a13
Oct ’25JP¥2,629.00
JP¥3,246.92
+23.5%
10.9%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,700.00n/a13
Sep ’25JP¥2,741.00
JP¥3,153.08
+15.0%
10.3%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,500.00n/a13
Aug ’25JP¥2,726.00
JP¥3,130.00
+14.8%
10.2%JP¥3,800.00JP¥2,500.00n/a13
Jul ’25JP¥2,649.50
JP¥2,963.08
+11.8%
8.9%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,500.00n/a13
Jun ’25JP¥2,582.50
JP¥2,916.15
+12.9%
9.8%JP¥3,400.00JP¥2,400.00n/a13
May ’25JP¥2,511.50
JP¥2,804.62
+11.7%
8.4%JP¥3,200.00JP¥2,400.00n/a13
Apr ’25JP¥2,464.00
JP¥2,776.92
+12.7%
8.5%JP¥3,150.00JP¥2,400.00n/a13
Mar ’25JP¥2,408.00
JP¥2,724.62
+13.1%
9.3%JP¥3,150.00JP¥2,200.00n/a13
Feb ’25JP¥2,253.50
JP¥2,724.62
+20.9%
9.3%JP¥3,150.00JP¥2,200.00n/a13
Jan ’25JP¥2,359.50
JP¥2,547.69
+8.0%
10.5%JP¥3,100.00JP¥2,100.00n/a13
Dec ’24JP¥2,343.50
JP¥2,426.43
+3.5%
12.2%JP¥3,100.00JP¥1,950.00n/a14
Nov ’24JP¥2,112.00
JP¥2,333.57
+10.5%
8.2%JP¥2,650.00JP¥1,950.00JP¥2,468.0014
Oct ’24JP¥1,935.50
JP¥2,162.31
+11.7%
7.9%JP¥2,500.00JP¥1,860.00JP¥2,629.0013
Sep ’24JP¥1,907.50
JP¥2,001.54
+4.9%
14.9%JP¥2,400.00JP¥1,480.00JP¥2,741.0013
Aug ’24JP¥1,887.00
JP¥1,860.00
-1.4%
14.6%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,480.00JP¥2,726.0012
Jul ’24JP¥1,422.50
JP¥1,728.33
+21.5%
11.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,649.5012
Jun ’24JP¥1,377.00
JP¥1,741.67
+26.5%
10.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,582.5012
May ’24JP¥1,412.00
JP¥1,725.00
+22.2%
10.4%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,400.00JP¥2,511.5012
Apr ’24JP¥1,504.00
JP¥1,696.67
+12.8%
9.9%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,360.00JP¥2,464.0012
Mar ’24JP¥1,342.00
JP¥1,713.33
+27.7%
10.9%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,360.00JP¥2,408.0012
Feb ’24JP¥1,413.00
JP¥1,738.33
+23.0%
10.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,360.00JP¥2,253.5012
Jan ’24JP¥1,566.00
JP¥1,731.67
+10.6%
15.1%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,310.00JP¥2,359.5012
Dec ’23JP¥1,455.00
JP¥1,698.33
+16.7%
15.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,310.00JP¥2,343.5012
Nov ’23JP¥1,451.00
JP¥1,698.33
+17.0%
15.7%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,310.00JP¥2,112.0012

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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