Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Ltd.

TSE:3099 Stock Report

Market Cap: JP¥849.2b

Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings Valuation

Is 3099 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 3099 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 3099 (¥2239.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (¥1670.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 3099 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 3099?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

3099 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA12.5x
PEG Ratio7.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 3099's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 3099 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
7453 Ryohin Keikaku
21.7x8.1%JP¥661.3b
8233 Takashimaya Company
11.4x8.1%JP¥361.4b
8273 Izumi
11.3x5.2%JP¥254.5b
3086 J. Front Retailing
12.5x2.0%JP¥373.7b
3099 Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings
19.3x2.6%JP¥849.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 3099 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 3099's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the JP Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.0%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.0%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 3099 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the JP Multiline Retail industry average (16.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 3099's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

3099 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.3x
Fair PE Ratio17.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 3099 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 3099 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentJP¥2,239.50
JP¥2,275.00
+1.6%
16.8%JP¥2,800.00JP¥1,500.00n/a8
Apr ’25JP¥2,426.00
JP¥2,144.44
-11.6%
16.1%JP¥2,700.00JP¥1,500.00n/a9
Mar ’25JP¥2,114.00
JP¥2,047.78
-3.1%
13.9%JP¥2,450.00JP¥1,500.00n/a9
Feb ’25JP¥1,751.50
JP¥1,903.33
+8.7%
12.5%JP¥2,200.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Jan ’25JP¥1,534.00
JP¥1,881.11
+22.6%
11.5%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Dec ’24JP¥1,710.50
JP¥1,864.44
+9.0%
11.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Nov ’24JP¥1,692.50
JP¥1,778.89
+5.1%
12.2%JP¥2,100.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Oct ’24JP¥1,731.50
JP¥1,734.44
+0.2%
10.7%JP¥2,000.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Sep ’24JP¥1,702.50
JP¥1,676.67
-1.5%
9.1%JP¥1,900.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Aug ’24JP¥1,589.00
JP¥1,608.89
+1.3%
9.0%JP¥1,800.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Jul ’24JP¥1,462.00
JP¥1,586.67
+8.5%
8.0%JP¥1,780.00JP¥1,400.00n/a9
Jun ’24JP¥1,413.00
JP¥1,575.56
+11.5%
8.4%JP¥1,780.00JP¥1,350.00n/a9
May ’24JP¥1,522.00
JP¥1,450.00
-4.7%
11.5%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,250.00JP¥2,199.009
Apr ’24JP¥1,482.00
JP¥1,450.00
-2.2%
11.5%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,250.00JP¥2,426.009
Mar ’24JP¥1,384.00
JP¥1,418.89
+2.5%
12.2%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,220.00JP¥2,114.009
Feb ’24JP¥1,394.00
JP¥1,325.00
-4.9%
14.6%JP¥1,700.00JP¥1,100.00JP¥1,751.508
Jan ’24JP¥1,437.00
JP¥1,271.25
-11.5%
16.9%JP¥1,600.00JP¥920.00JP¥1,534.008
Dec ’23JP¥1,301.00
JP¥1,256.25
-3.4%
16.1%JP¥1,600.00JP¥920.00JP¥1,710.508
Nov ’23JP¥1,335.00
JP¥1,177.50
-11.8%
18.8%JP¥1,600.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,692.508
Oct ’23JP¥1,227.00
JP¥1,123.75
-8.4%
15.3%JP¥1,380.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,731.508
Sep ’23JP¥1,106.00
JP¥1,085.00
-1.9%
14.2%JP¥1,300.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,702.508
Aug ’23JP¥1,084.00
JP¥1,078.75
-0.5%
13.5%JP¥1,300.00JP¥900.00JP¥1,589.008
Jul ’23JP¥1,108.00
JP¥986.25
-11.0%
14.8%JP¥1,250.00JP¥800.00JP¥1,462.008
Jun ’23JP¥1,094.00
JP¥960.00
-12.2%
12.7%JP¥1,100.00JP¥800.00JP¥1,413.008
May ’23JP¥963.00
JP¥906.25
-5.9%
15.1%JP¥1,100.00JP¥700.00JP¥1,522.008

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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