BLIRT S.A.'s (WSE:BLR) stock was strong after they reported robust earnings. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.
Examining Cashflow Against BLIRT's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
BLIRT has an accrual ratio of 0.28 for the year to March 2021. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of zł23m, which is significantly less than its profit of zł25.9m. At this point we should mention that BLIRT did manage to increase its free cash flow in the last twelve months
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of BLIRT.
Our Take On BLIRT's Profit Performance
BLIRT didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that BLIRT's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. On the bright side, the company showed enough improvement to book a profit this year, after losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about BLIRT as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for BLIRT (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of BLIRT's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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