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The three-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as Wirtualna Polska Holding (WSE:WPL) stock falls a further 9.5% in past week
Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But the risk of stock picking is that you will likely buy under-performing companies. We regret to report that long term Wirtualna Polska Holding S.A. (WSE:WPL) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 48% in three years, versus a market decline of about 8.1%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 38% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 15% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
Check out our latest analysis for Wirtualna Polska Holding
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the three years that the share price fell, Wirtualna Polska Holding's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 2.7% each year. This reduction in EPS is slower than the 19% annual reduction in the share price. So it's likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Wirtualna Polska Holding's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Wirtualna Polska Holding's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Wirtualna Polska Holding the TSR over the last 3 years was -45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
Investors in Wirtualna Polska Holding had a tough year, with a total loss of 37% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 10%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.0% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Wirtualna Polska Holding .
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Polish exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Wirtualna Polska Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:WPL
Wirtualna Polska Holding
Through its subsidiaries, engages in the media, advertising, and e-commerce businesses in Poland.
Good value with moderate growth potential.