Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. (WSE:CPS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Cyfrowy Polsat
How Much Debt Does Cyfrowy Polsat Carry?
As you can see below, Cyfrowy Polsat had zł11.9b of debt, at September 2021, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have zł7.46b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł4.48b.
How Healthy Is Cyfrowy Polsat's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Cyfrowy Polsat had liabilities of zł6.80b due within a year, and liabilities of zł11.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł7.46b and zł2.86b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total zł8.14b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Cyfrowy Polsat has a market capitalization of zł21.7b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
With net debt sitting at just 1.2 times EBITDA, Cyfrowy Polsat is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.8 times the interest expense over the last year. And we also note warmly that Cyfrowy Polsat grew its EBIT by 20% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cyfrowy Polsat can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Cyfrowy Polsat actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
Our View
The good news is that Cyfrowy Polsat's demonstrated ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Cyfrowy Polsat takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Cyfrowy Polsat (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:CPS
Cyfrowy Polsat
Provides digital satellite platform and terrestrial television (TV), and telecommunication services in Poland.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.