Stock Analysis

Grupa Kety (WSE:KTY) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Grupa Kety S.A. (WSE:KTY) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Grupa Kety

What Is Grupa Kety's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2022 Grupa Kety had debt of zł1.17b, up from zł899.3m in one year. However, it also had zł205.8m in cash, and so its net debt is zł967.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:KTY Debt to Equity History March 29th 2023

A Look At Grupa Kety's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Grupa Kety had liabilities of zł1.28b due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł1.03b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had zł205.8m in cash and zł993.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł1.11b.

Grupa Kety has a market capitalization of zł5.12b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Grupa Kety's net debt is only 0.91 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 23.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. In addition to that, we're happy to report that Grupa Kety has boosted its EBIT by 33%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Grupa Kety can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. In the last three years, Grupa Kety's free cash flow amounted to 40% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that Grupa Kety's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its EBIT growth rate also supports that impression! Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Grupa Kety takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Grupa Kety is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are a bit concerning...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About WSE:KTY

Grupa Kety

Produces and sells aluminum profiles and components in Poland and internationally.

Good value with proven track record.

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