Stock Analysis

Here's Why I Think Arctic Paper (WSE:ATC) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

WSE:ATC
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

If, on the other hand, you like companies that have revenue, and even earn profits, then you may well be interested in Arctic Paper (WSE:ATC). While that doesn't make the shares worth buying at any price, you can't deny that successful capitalism requires profit, eventually. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for Arctic Paper

Arctic Paper's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so share price follows earnings per share (EPS) eventually. That makes EPS growth an attractive quality for any company. As a tree reaches steadily for the sky, Arctic Paper's EPS has grown 26% each year, compound, over three years. As a general rule, we'd say that if a company can keep up that sort of growth, shareholders will be smiling.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Arctic Paper's EBIT margins are flat but, of some concern, its revenue is actually down. And that does make me a little more cautious of the stock.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
WSE:ATC Earnings and Revenue History January 21st 2021

Since Arctic Paper is no giant, with a market capitalization of zł503m, so you should definitely check its cash and debt before getting too excited about its prospects.

Are Arctic Paper Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

It makes me feel more secure owning shares in a company if insiders also own shares, thusly more closely aligning our interests. So it is good to see that Arctic Paper insiders have a significant amount of capital invested in the stock. Indeed, they hold zł45m worth of its stock. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. That amounts to 9.0% of the company, demonstrating a degree of high-level alignment with shareholders.

Is Arctic Paper Worth Keeping An Eye On?

You can't deny that Arctic Paper has grown its earnings per share at a very impressive rate. That's attractive. I think that EPS growth is something to boast of, and it doesn't surprise me that insiders are holding on to a considerable chunk of shares. So this is very likely the kind of business that I like to spend time researching, with a view to discerning its true value. However, before you get too excited we've discovered 1 warning sign for Arctic Paper that you should be aware of.

Although Arctic Paper certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:ATC

Arctic Paper

Engages in the production and sale of paper for printing houses, paper distributors, book and magazine publishing houses, and the advertising industries in Poland, Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Scandinavia, other Western Europe, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.