Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Harper Hygienics S.A. (WSE:HRP) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Harper Hygienics
How Much Debt Does Harper Hygienics Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Harper Hygienics had zł82.1m of debt, an increase on zł73.6m, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
A Look At Harper Hygienics' Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Harper Hygienics had liabilities of zł119.6m due within 12 months, and liabilities of zł81.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł1.25m as well as receivables valued at zł56.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł143.4m.
This deficit casts a shadow over the zł89.8m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Harper Hygienics would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Harper Hygienics has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 16.5 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Notably, Harper Hygienics made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of zł12m in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Harper Hygienics will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Harper Hygienics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Harper Hygienics's level of total liabilities and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at covering its interest expense with its EBIT; that's encouraging. Overall, it seems to us that Harper Hygienics's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Harper Hygienics has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About WSE:HRP
Harper Hygienics
Produces and sells cosmetic hygienic skin care products for women, infants, and children in Poland.
Good value with adequate balance sheet.