Stock Analysis

M Food (WSE:MFD) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

WSE:MFD
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that M Food S.A. (WSE:MFD) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for M Food

What Is M Food's Net Debt?

As you can see below, M Food had zł30.7m of debt at September 2021, down from zł35.5m a year prior. However, it also had zł2.47m in cash, and so its net debt is zł28.3m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:MFD Debt to Equity History December 31st 2021

How Healthy Is M Food's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that M Food had liabilities of zł47.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł1.40m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł2.47m in cash and zł27.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total zł18.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of zł28.2m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on M Food's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

M Food's net debt is 3.8 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 10.6 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Importantly, M Food grew its EBIT by 57% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is M Food's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last two years, M Food saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

While M Food's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has us nervous. For example, its EBIT growth rate and interest cover give us some confidence in its ability to manage its debt. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that M Food is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example M Food has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.