Stock Analysis
Insufficient Growth At Krynica Vitamin S.A. (WSE:KVT) Hampers Share Price
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Beverage industry in Poland have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.3x, Krynica Vitamin S.A. (WSE:KVT) looks to be giving off some buy signals with its 0.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Krynica Vitamin
What Does Krynica Vitamin's Recent Performance Look Like?
The recent revenue growth at Krynica Vitamin would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Krynica Vitamin will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Krynica Vitamin's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Krynica Vitamin?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Krynica Vitamin's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.4%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 2.3% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 2.4% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Krynica Vitamin is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
It's no surprise that Krynica Vitamin maintains its low P/S off the back of its sliding revenue over the medium-term. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Krynica Vitamin (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Krynica Vitamin might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:KVT
Krynica Vitamin
Produces and sells non-alcoholic and low-alcoholic beverages in Poland, Germany, the United Kingdom, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, and internationally.