Eurosnack (WSE:ECK) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Eurosnack S.A. (WSE:ECK) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.
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Examining Cashflow Against Eurosnack's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to June 2024, Eurosnack recorded an accrual ratio of 0.24. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of zł6.1m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of zł12.4m. Eurosnack shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings. One positive for Eurosnack shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Eurosnack.
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. Eurosnack expanded the number of shares on issue by 6.3% over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of Eurosnack's EPS by clicking here.
A Look At The Impact Of Eurosnack's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
As you can see above, Eurosnack has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 215% over three years. And the 87% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 119% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Eurosnack can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
Our Take On Eurosnack's Profit Performance
In conclusion, Eurosnack has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means its earnings per share growth is weaker than its profit growth. Considering all this we'd argue Eurosnack's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, Eurosnack has 4 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
Our examination of Eurosnack has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:ECK
Eurosnack
Produces and distributes salty snacks and biscuits in Poland and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.