Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Rainbow Tours S.A. (WSE:RBW) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for Rainbow Tours
What Is Rainbow Tours's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Rainbow Tours had debt of zł108.2m at the end of March 2022, a reduction from zł161.2m over a year. However, it also had zł81.3m in cash, and so its net debt is zł26.9m.
How Healthy Is Rainbow Tours' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Rainbow Tours had liabilities of zł347.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł112.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł81.3m and zł221.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling zł157.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Rainbow Tours is worth zł302.7m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Rainbow Tours's net debt is only 0.80 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Rainbow Tours turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of zł22m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Rainbow Tours will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Rainbow Tours actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Happily, Rainbow Tours's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But truth be told we feel its level of total liabilities does undermine this impression a bit. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Rainbow Tours can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Rainbow Tours (including 1 which is significant) .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About WSE:RBW
Rainbow Tours
Operates as a tour operator in Poland, the Czech Republic, Greece, Spain, Turkey, Slovakia, Lithuania, and internationally.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.