There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. This shows us that it's a compounding machine, able to continually reinvest its earnings back into the business and generate higher returns. However, after investigating Auxilia (WSE:AUX), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Auxilia, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.059 = zł2.6m ÷ (zł47m - zł2.9m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2021).
So, Auxilia has an ROCE of 5.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Consumer Services industry average of 16%.
View our latest analysis for Auxilia
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Auxilia's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating Auxilia's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Are Returns Trending?
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Auxilia, we didn't gain much confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 9.7%, but since then they've fallen to 5.9%. Given the business is employing more capital while revenue has slipped, this is a bit concerning. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
In Conclusion...
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Auxilia's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Unsurprisingly then, the stock has dived 87% over the last five years, so investors are recognizing these changes and don't like the company's prospects. That being the case, unless the underlying trends revert to a more positive trajectory, we'd consider looking elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 5 warning signs with Auxilia (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:AUX
Auxilia
Provides services for the victims of accidents and their families.
Excellent balance sheet moderate.