Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Atlanta Poland S.A. (WSE:ATP) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Atlanta Poland
What Is Atlanta Poland's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Atlanta Poland had zł35.1m of debt at December 2020, down from zł60.3m a year prior. However, it does have zł6.54m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about zł28.5m.
How Healthy Is Atlanta Poland's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Atlanta Poland had liabilities of zł56.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł36.9m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had zł6.54m in cash and zł32.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł53.6m.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of zł52.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Atlanta Poland's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Atlanta Poland's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 10.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. It is well worth noting that Atlanta Poland's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 47% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Atlanta Poland will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Atlanta Poland actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Our View
Happily, Atlanta Poland's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But we must concede we find its level of total liabilities has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Atlanta Poland can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Atlanta Poland .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:ATP
Atlanta Poland
Trades in and retails nuts and dried fruits for the confectionery and bakery industries in Poland.
Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet and pays a dividend.