Stock Analysis

Bumech (WSE:BMC) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

WSE:BMC
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Bumech S.A. (WSE:BMC) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Bumech

What Is Bumech's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Bumech had zł92.6m of debt in March 2023, down from zł104.1m, one year before. But it also has zł99.4m in cash to offset that, meaning it has zł6.78m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:BMC Debt to Equity History June 24th 2023

How Strong Is Bumech's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Bumech had liabilities of zł271.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of zł159.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of zł99.4m and zł109.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł222.2m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Bumech is worth zł413.6m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Bumech boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Although Bumech made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, it was also good to see that it generated zł488m in EBIT over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Bumech's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. While Bumech has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent year, Bumech recorded free cash flow of 25% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While Bumech does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of zł6.78m. So we are not troubled with Bumech's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Bumech (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bumech might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.