If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Ultimately this means that the company is earning less per dollar invested and on top of that, it's shrinking its base of capital employed. Having said that, after a brief look, Lena Lighting (WSE:LEN) we aren't filled with optimism, but let's investigate further.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What is it?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Lena Lighting is:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.088 = zł8.5m ÷ (zł112m - zł15m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).
Therefore, Lena Lighting has an ROCE of 8.8%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Electrical industry average of 11%.
View our latest analysis for Lena Lighting
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Lena Lighting has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Can We Tell From Lena Lighting's ROCE Trend?
We are a bit worried about the trend of returns on capital at Lena Lighting. About five years ago, returns on capital were 14%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Lena Lighting becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Key Takeaway
All in all, the lower returns from the same amount of capital employed aren't exactly signs of a compounding machine. But investors must be expecting an improvement of sorts because over the last five yearsthe stock has delivered a respectable 63% return. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
If you'd like to know more about Lena Lighting, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is concerning.
While Lena Lighting may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About WSE:LEN
Lena Lighting
Engages in the manufacture and sale of lighting systems and luminaires in Poland and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.