Stock Analysis

Grodno Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:GRN) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

WSE:GRN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Grodno Spólka Akcyjna (WSE:GRN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Grodno Spólka Akcyjna

What Is Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2021 Grodno Spólka Akcyjna had debt of zł54.0m, up from zł49.9m in one year. However, it also had zł4.84m in cash, and so its net debt is zł49.1m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
WSE:GRN Debt to Equity History November 28th 2021

A Look At Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Grodno Spólka Akcyjna had liabilities of zł271.8m due within 12 months and liabilities of zł30.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of zł4.84m as well as receivables valued at zł139.2m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by zł158.3m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of zł226.1m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.7 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 98.9 times, makes us even more comfortable. Sadly, Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's EBIT actually dropped 5.0% in the last year. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Grodno Spólka Akcyjna will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Grodno Spólka Akcyjna recorded free cash flow worth 71% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

On our analysis Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. However, our other observations weren't so heartening. For instance it seems like it has to struggle a bit to handle its total liabilities. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Grodno Spólka Akcyjna's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Grodno Spólka Akcyjna that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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