Mercury NZ Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 4/6
Mercury NZ's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -30.6%, while the Electric Utilities industry saw earnings growing at 7.7% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 14.6% per year. Mercury NZ's return on equity is 1.8%, and it has net margins of 2.6%.
Key information
-30.62%
Earnings growth rate
-31.10%
EPS growth rate
| Electric Utilities Industry Growth | 7.32% |
| Revenue growth rate | 14.60% |
| Return on equity | 1.83% |
| Net Margin | 2.58% |
| Last Earnings Update | 31 Dec 2025 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
MCY: Geothermal Investment And Margin Improvements Will Support A Steady Forward Outlook
Analysts have nudged their price target for Mercury NZ slightly higher to around NZ$7.12, citing updated assumptions that pair more conservative revenue growth with a modestly stronger profit margin and an essentially unchanged forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercury NZ held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a closer look at its plans and assumptions, including updates on growth projects and capital allocation.MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Distribution Will Support A Steady Future Outlook
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercury NZ higher, lifting the price target from NZ$6.99 to NZ$7.09. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Upcoming Distribution Will Support Steady Outlook
Analysts have kept their NZ$6.99 price target for Mercury NZ unchanged. This reflects broadly consistent assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their latest updates.MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Upcoming Distribution Will Support Steady Outlook
Analysts have kept their NZ$6.99 price target for Mercury NZ unchanged, reflecting steady assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples in their latest review. What's in the News Mercury officially opened the fifth generation unit at its Nga Tamariki Geothermal Station near Taupo, a NZ$220m expansion project first announced in 2023 with construction starting in 2024 (Key Developments).MCY: Slightly Lower Fair Value Will Be Balanced By Upcoming Distribution
Analysts have slightly reduced their 12 month price target for Mercury NZ, with their estimate of fair value moving from NZ$7.02 to NZ$6.99. This revision reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.MCY: Higher Assumed Margins And P/E Will Support Stronger Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury NZ to NZ$7.02 from NZ$6.89, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised slightly higher from NZ$6.89 to NZ$7.02.Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electric Utilities industry in New Zealand have price-to-sales...Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Shares Could Be 46% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Mercury NZ fair value estimate is NZ$11.93 Current share price...Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electric Utilities industry in New Zealand have price-to-sales...Wind, Geothermal And Battery Projects Will Fuel New Zealand Decarbonization
With analysts providing no new reasoning for their valuation, both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts for Mercury NZ remained stable, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of NZ$6.89. What's in the News Mercury NZ provided FY26 dividend guidance of 25.0 cps, representing a 4% increase on FY25.Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 87% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Mercury NZ is NZ$11.60 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Mercury NZ's...
Kaiwera Downs 2 And Nga Tamariki Expansions Will Increase Future Renewable Capacity
Integration and renewable projects are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive future revenue growth for Mercury NZ.Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Mercury NZ makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 25 | 3,407 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 3,453 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 3,498 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 3,536 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 3,574 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 3,499 | 170 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 3,424 | 290 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 3,230 | 169 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 3,035 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 2,883 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 2,730 | 112 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 2,673 | 197 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 2,615 | 281 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 2,402 | 375 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 2,188 | 469 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 2,081 | 454 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 1,974 | 438 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 2,010 | 290 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 2,045 | 141 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 1,915 | 199 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 1,784 | 256 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 1,776 | 233 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 1,768 | 209 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 1,809 | 273 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 1,850 | 336 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 1,926 | 347 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 2,001 | 357 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 1,962 | 282 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 1,922 | 207 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 1,860 | 221 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 1,798 | 234 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 1,777 | 218 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 1,756 | 202 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 1,677 | 193 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 1,597 | 184 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 1,572 | 192 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 1,547 | 199 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 1,556 | 180 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 1,564 | 160 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 1,591 | 137 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 1,617 | 113 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 1,648 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 15 | 1,678 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
Quality Earnings: MCY has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: MCY's current net profit margins (2.6%) are higher than last year (1.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: MCY's earnings have declined by 30.6% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: MCY's earnings growth over the past year (79.6%) exceeds its 5-year average (-30.6% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: MCY earnings growth over the past year (79.6%) exceeded the Electric Utilities industry 2.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: MCY's Return on Equity (1.8%) is considered low.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
Discover strong past performing companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/23 03:10 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/23 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Mercury NZ Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Grant Swanepoel | Deutsche Bank |
| Andrew Harvey-Green | Forsyth Barr Group Ltd. |
| Mark Wiseman | Goldman Sachs |