Mercury NZ Limited

NZSE:MCY Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$9.8b

Mercury NZ Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 2/6

Mercury NZ is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 3.48%.

Key information

3.5%

Dividend yield

n/a

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yieldn/a
Future Dividend Yield4.2%
Dividend Growth6.2%
Next dividend pay daten/a
Ex dividend daten/a
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio390%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 04

MCY: Geothermal Investment And Margin Improvements Will Support A Steady Forward Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target for Mercury NZ slightly higher to around NZ$7.12, citing updated assumptions that pair more conservative revenue growth with a modestly stronger profit margin and an essentially unchanged forward P/E multiple. What's in the News Mercury NZ held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a closer look at its plans and assumptions, including updates on growth projects and capital allocation.
Narrative Update May 10

MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Distribution Will Support A Steady Future Outlook

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Mercury NZ higher, lifting the price target from NZ$6.99 to NZ$7.09. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly lower future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Apr 12

MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Upcoming Distribution Will Support Steady Outlook

Analysts have kept their NZ$6.99 price target for Mercury NZ unchanged. This reflects broadly consistent assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in their latest updates.
Narrative Update Mar 27

MCY: Geothermal Expansion And Upcoming Distribution Will Support Steady Outlook

Analysts have kept their NZ$6.99 price target for Mercury NZ unchanged, reflecting steady assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E multiples in their latest review. What's in the News Mercury officially opened the fifth generation unit at its Nga Tamariki Geothermal Station near Taupo, a NZ$220m expansion project first announced in 2023 with construction starting in 2024 (Key Developments).
Narrative Update Mar 11

MCY: Slightly Lower Fair Value Will Be Balanced By Upcoming Distribution

Analysts have slightly reduced their 12 month price target for Mercury NZ, with their estimate of fair value moving from NZ$7.02 to NZ$6.99. This revision reflects updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly higher future P/E multiple.
Narrative Update Feb 25

MCY: Higher Assumed Margins And P/E Will Support Stronger Future Upside

Analysts have lifted their price target for Mercury NZ to NZ$7.02 from NZ$6.89, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value: revised slightly higher from NZ$6.89 to NZ$7.02.
Analysis Article Dec 15

Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electric Utilities industry in New Zealand have price-to-sales...
Analysis Article Nov 18

Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Shares Could Be 46% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Mercury NZ fair value estimate is NZ$11.93 Current share price...
Analysis Article Oct 03

Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Using Too Much Debt?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Sep 11

Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Electric Utilities industry in New Zealand have price-to-sales...
Narrative Update Sep 04

Wind, Geothermal And Battery Projects Will Fuel New Zealand Decarbonization

With analysts providing no new reasoning for their valuation, both revenue growth and net profit margin forecasts for Mercury NZ remained stable, resulting in an unchanged consensus price target of NZ$6.89. What's in the News Mercury NZ provided FY26 dividend guidance of 25.0 cps, representing a 4% increase on FY25.
Analysis Article Jul 31

Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 87% Above Its Share Price

Key Insights The projected fair value for Mercury NZ is NZ$11.60 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Mercury NZ's...
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New Narrative Feb 09

Kaiwera Downs 2 And Nga Tamariki Expansions Will Increase Future Renewable Capacity

Integration and renewable projects are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive future revenue growth for Mercury NZ.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: MCY's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: MCY's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Dividend Yield vs Market

Mercury NZ Dividend Yield vs Market
How does MCY dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (MCY)3.5%
Market Bottom 25% (NZ)3.3%
Market Top 25% (NZ)6.2%
Industry Average (Electric Utilities)3.4%
Analyst forecast (MCY) (up to 3 years)4.2%

Notable Dividend: MCY's dividend (3.48%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the NZ market (3.34%).

High Dividend: MCY's dividend (3.48%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the NZ market (6.23%).


Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its high payout ratio (390.3%), MCY's dividend payments are not well covered by earnings.


Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: With its high cash payout ratio (352.6%), MCY's dividend payments are not well covered by cash flows.


Discover strong dividend paying companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/06/23 19:36
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/23 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mercury NZ Limited is covered by 9 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Grant SwanepoelDeutsche Bank
Andrew Harvey-GreenForsyth Barr Group Ltd.
Mark WisemanGoldman Sachs