Mercury NZ Limited

NZSE:MCY Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$8.7b

Mercury NZ Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Mercury NZ's revenue is forecast to decline at 0.08% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 24.4% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 24% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 7.3% in 3 years.

Key information

24.4%

Earnings growth rate

23.99%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth2.3%
Revenue growth rate-0.08%
Future return on equity7.31%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated11 Jun 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) A Risky Investment?

May 28
Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) A Risky Investment?

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) P/S Ratio

Apr 16
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) P/S Ratio

These 4 Measures Indicate That Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Is Using Debt Extensively

Feb 25
These 4 Measures Indicate That Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Is Using Debt Extensively
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Kaiwera Downs 2 And Nga Tamariki Expansions Will Increase Future Renewable Capacity

Integration and renewable projects are expected to enhance operational efficiency and drive future revenue growth for Mercury NZ.

Investor Optimism Abounds Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) But Growth Is Lacking

Dec 09
Investor Optimism Abounds Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) But Growth Is Lacking

Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Using Too Much Debt?

Oct 04
Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Using Too Much Debt?

Here's Why Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) CEO Might See A Pay Rise Soon

Sep 12
Here's Why Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) CEO Might See A Pay Rise Soon

Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At NZ$0.1647

Aug 22
Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At NZ$0.1647

Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price

Jun 30
Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:MCY - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20273,5163502257274
6/30/20263,393316376264
6/30/20253,321215-255214
12/31/20243,57449153556N/A
9/30/20243,499170216584N/A
6/30/20243,424290278612N/A
3/31/20243,230169221564N/A
12/31/20233,03547163516N/A
9/30/20232,88380222547N/A
6/30/20232,730112281578N/A
3/31/20232,673197347572N/A
12/31/20222,615281412565N/A
9/30/20222,402375313459N/A
6/30/20222,188469213352N/A
3/31/20222,081454165332N/A
12/31/20211,974438117311N/A
9/30/20212,01029074325N/A
6/30/20212,04514130338N/A
3/31/20211,91519923338N/A
12/31/20201,78425616338N/A
9/30/20201,77623375345N/A
6/30/20201,768209133352N/A
3/31/20201,809273153340N/A
12/31/20191,850336172328N/A
9/30/20191,926347188327N/A
6/30/20192,001357204326N/A
3/31/20191,962282206328N/A
12/31/20181,922207207330N/A
9/30/20181,860221N/A353N/A
6/30/20181,798234N/A376N/A
3/31/20181,777218N/A386N/A
12/31/20171,756202N/A396N/A
9/30/20171,677193N/A384N/A
6/30/20171,597184N/A372N/A
3/31/20171,572192N/A343N/A
12/31/20161,547199N/A313N/A
9/30/20161,556180N/A297N/A
6/30/20161,564160N/A280N/A
3/31/20161,591137N/A287N/A
12/31/20151,617113N/A293N/A
9/30/20151,64880N/A301N/A
6/30/20151,67847N/A309N/A
3/31/20151,70872N/A316N/A
12/31/20141,73796N/A322N/A
9/30/20141,721154N/A320N/A
6/30/20141,705212N/A317N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MCY's forecast earnings growth (24.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MCY's earnings (24.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (23.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MCY's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MCY's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.08% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MCY's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.08% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MCY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (7.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/06/17 13:13
End of Day Share Price 2025/06/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Mercury NZ Limited is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nevill GluyasCredit Suisse
Grant SwanepoelDeutsche Bank
Andrew Harvey-GreenForsyth Barr Group Ltd.