Mercury NZ Future Growth
Future criteria checks 1/6
Mercury NZ's revenue is forecast to decline at 2.4% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 3.9% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 3.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.5% in 3 years.
Key information
3.9%
Earnings growth rate
3.1%
EPS growth rate
| Electric Utilities earnings growth | 1.7% |
| Revenue growth rate | -2.4% |
| Future return on equity | 6.5% |
| Analyst coverage | Low |
| Last updated | 18 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Investor Optimism Abounds Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) But Growth Is Lacking
Dec 09
Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Using Too Much Debt?
Oct 04Here's Why Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) CEO Might See A Pay Rise Soon
Sep 12Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At NZ$0.1647
Aug 22Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 53% Above Its Share Price
Jun 30Does Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Jun 11Subdued Growth No Barrier To Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Price
May 21Mercury NZ Limited Just Beat Revenue By 19%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Feb 22Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk
Dec 29Is Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) A Risky Investment?
Oct 04Here's Why Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) CEO Compensation Is The Least Of Shareholders' Concerns
Sep 12Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1541
Sep 06Mercury NZ's (NZSE:MCY) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
Aug 23Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY)
Jun 29Here's Why Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
May 22Is There An Opportunity With Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) 29% Undervaluation?
Mar 25Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Is Increasing Its Dividend To NZ$0.1024
Feb 26Does Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Deserve A Spot On Your Watchlist?
Feb 05Does Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Dec 19Is There An Opportunity With Mercury NZ Limited's (NZSE:MCY) 20% Undervaluation?
Dec 05We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Passed With Ease
Oct 24Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Sep 02Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Aug 18Analysts Are Betting On Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) With A Big Upgrade This Week
Aug 16Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Shares Could Be 24% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate
May 18Here's Why Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Mar 28The Consensus EPS Estimates For Mercury NZ Limited (NZSE:MCY) Just Fell Dramatically
Feb 26Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At NZ$0.094
Feb 24Mercury NZ (NZSE:MCY) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Oct 07Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2027 | 3,341 | 322 | 423 | 718 | 3 |
| 6/30/2026 | 3,288 | 293 | 210 | 581 | 3 |
| 6/30/2025 | 3,257 | 263 | 250 | 643 | 3 |
| 6/30/2024 | 3,424 | 290 | 278 | 612 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 3,230 | 169 | 221 | 564 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 3,035 | 38 | 163 | 516 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,883 | 71 | 222 | 547 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,730 | 112 | 281 | 578 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,673 | 197 | 347 | 572 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,615 | 281 | 412 | 565 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,402 | 375 | 313 | 459 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,188 | 469 | 213 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,081 | 454 | 165 | 332 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 1,974 | 438 | 117 | 311 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 2,010 | 290 | 74 | 325 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 2,045 | 141 | 30 | 338 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 1,915 | 199 | 23 | 338 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 1,784 | 256 | 16 | 338 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,776 | 233 | 75 | 345 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,768 | 209 | 133 | 352 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,809 | 273 | 153 | 340 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,850 | 336 | 172 | 328 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,926 | 347 | 188 | 327 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,001 | 357 | 204 | 326 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,962 | 282 | 206 | 328 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,922 | 207 | 207 | 330 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,860 | 221 | 228 | 353 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,798 | 234 | 249 | 376 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,777 | 218 | N/A | 386 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,756 | 202 | N/A | 396 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,677 | 193 | N/A | 384 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,597 | 184 | N/A | 372 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,572 | 192 | N/A | 343 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,547 | 199 | N/A | 313 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,556 | 180 | N/A | 297 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,564 | 160 | N/A | 280 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,591 | 137 | N/A | 287 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,617 | 113 | N/A | 293 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,648 | 80 | N/A | 301 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 1,678 | 47 | N/A | 309 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 1,708 | 72 | N/A | 316 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 1,737 | 96 | N/A | 322 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 1,721 | 154 | N/A | 320 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 1,705 | 212 | N/A | 317 | N/A |
| 3/31/2014 | 1,722 | 188 | N/A | 281 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: MCY's forecast earnings growth (3.9% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).
Earnings vs Market: MCY's earnings (3.9% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (24.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: MCY's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: MCY's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).
High Growth Revenue: MCY's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-2.4% per year).
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: MCY's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.5%).
Discover growth companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2024/12/31 02:48 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/31 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
| |
| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
|
|
| Market Prices | 30 years |
| |
| Ownership | 10 years |
| |
| Management | 10 years |
| |
| Key Developments | 10 years |
|
* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .
Analyst Sources
Mercury NZ Limited is covered by 10 analysts. 4 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Nevill Gluyas | Credit Suisse |
| Grant Swanepoel | Deutsche Bank |
| Andrew Harvey-Green | Forsyth Barr Group Ltd. |