Tourism Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Tourism Holdings is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 20% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 20% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.4% in 3 years.

Key information

20.0%

Earnings growth rate

20.0%

EPS growth rate

Transportation earnings growth	8.5%
Revenue growth rate	6.3%
Future return on equity	12.4%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	15 Sep 2024

Recent future growth updates

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) After Its Interim Results

Feb 23

Recent updates

We Think You Can Look Beyond Tourism Holdings' (NZSE:THL) Lackluster Earnings

Sep 03

At NZ$2.07, Is Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) Worth Looking At Closely?

Jul 18

Earnings Working Against Tourism Holdings Limited's (NZSE:THL) Share Price Following 42% Dive

May 06

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) After Its Interim Results

Feb 23

We Think Tourism Holdings Limited's (NZSE:THL) CEO Compensation Package Needs To Be Put Under A Microscope

Oct 14

What Type Of Shareholders Make Up Tourism Holdings Limited's (NZSE:THL) Share Registry?

Feb 11

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL)?

Jan 23

Tourism Holdings Limited's (NZSE:THL) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

Dec 23

A Look At Tourism Holdings' (NZSE:THL) Share Price Returns

Dec 08

Should We Be Excited About The Trends Of Returns At Tourism Holdings (NZSE:THL)?

Nov 23

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:THL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	1,109	89	34	86	6
6/30/2026	1,042	76	24	64	6
6/30/2025	962	57	-12	24	6
6/30/2024	922	39	-112	-96	N/A
3/31/2024	887	52	-135	-121	N/A
12/31/2023	852	64	-158	-147	N/A
9/30/2023	758	57	-116	-104	N/A
6/30/2023	664	50	-74	-61	N/A
3/31/2023	548	39	-70	-57	N/A
12/31/2022	432	28	-66	-52	N/A
9/30/2022	389	13	-48	-37	N/A
6/30/2022	346	-1	-29	-22	N/A
3/31/2022	337	-9	-8	-2	N/A
12/31/2021	328	-16	13	18	N/A
9/30/2021	344	-15	48	53	N/A
6/30/2021	359	-14	82	87	N/A
3/31/2021	379	0	125	130	N/A
12/31/2020	399	13	168	174	N/A
9/30/2020	400	20	116	121	N/A
6/30/2020	401	27	65	69	N/A
3/31/2020	412	26	39	44	N/A
12/31/2019	423	25	13	18	N/A
9/30/2019	423	28	10	14	N/A
6/30/2019	423	30	6	10	N/A
3/31/2019	424	43	5	9	N/A
12/31/2018	424	57	5	8	N/A
9/30/2018	425	60	12	16	N/A
6/30/2018	426	62	20	25	N/A
3/31/2018	415	52	N/A	25	N/A
12/31/2017	404	42	N/A	25	N/A
9/30/2017	372	36	N/A	20	N/A
6/30/2017	341	30	N/A	15	N/A
3/31/2017	316	29	N/A	18	N/A
12/31/2016	291	27	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2016	285	26	N/A	17	N/A
6/30/2016	279	24	N/A	13	N/A
3/31/2016	269	24	N/A	13	N/A
12/31/2015	259	23	N/A	13	N/A
9/30/2015	248	21	N/A	19	N/A
6/30/2015	237	20	N/A	24	N/A
3/31/2015	232	17	N/A	23	N/A
12/31/2014	227	14	N/A	21	N/A
9/30/2014	228	13	N/A	32	N/A
6/30/2014	228	11	N/A	44	N/A
3/31/2014	228	9	N/A	42	N/A
12/31/2013	228	7	N/A	40	N/A
9/30/2013	227	5	N/A	41	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: THL's forecast earnings growth (20% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: THL's earnings (20% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (18% per year).

High Growth Earnings: THL's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: THL's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (4.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: THL's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: THL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.4%).

Tourism Holdings Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 33%

Tourism Holdings Limited Reduces Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgraded

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) After Its Interim Results

Price target decreased by 7.5% to NZ$4.69

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Recent updates

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.059 per share

We Think You Can Look Beyond Tourism Holdings' (NZSE:THL) Lackluster Earnings

Tourism Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Sep 16, 2024

Final dividend of NZ$0.059 announced

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

At NZ$2.07, Is Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) Worth Looking At Closely?

Tourism Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 27, 2024

New minor risk - Shareholder dilution

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Debbie Birch as Director, Effective October 2024

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 33%

Tourism Holdings Limited Reduces Earnings Guidance for the Fiscal Year 2024

Earnings Working Against Tourism Holdings Limited's (NZSE:THL) Share Price Following 42% Dive

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 38%

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces Appointment of Kate Meldrum as COO- North America

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces the Appointment of Cameron Mathewson as Chief Financial Officer, Effective 1 July 2024

Now 23% undervalued after recent price drop

Chief Transformation Officer recently sold NZ$214k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.053 per share

An undisclosed buyer acquired 14.14% stake in Camplify Holdings Limited (ASX:CHL) from Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) for AUD 19.2 million.

An undisclosed buyer acquired 14.14% stake in Camplify Holdings Limited (ASX:CHL) from Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) for AUD 19.2 million.

Independent Non Executive Director recently sold NZ$149k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 10%, revenue upgraded

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) After Its Interim Results

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.18 (vs NZ$0.15 in 1H 2023)

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces CFO Changes

Tourism Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 20, 2024

Chief Transformation Officer recently sold NZ$300k worth of stock

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Nick Judd as Chief Financial Officer

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces Resignation of Nick Judd as Chief Financial Officer

Price target decreased by 7.5% to NZ$4.69

Tourism Holdings Limited Announces Actual Final Dividend for the Twelve Months Ended June 30, 2023, Payment Date Is September 29, 2023

Chief Financial Officer exercised options to buy NZ$1.2m worth of stock.

CEO, MD & Executive Director exercised options to buy NZ$611k worth of stock.

Upcoming dividend of NZ$0.18 per share at 3.9% yield

Tourism Holdings Limited Declares Final Dividend for Period of Twelve Months June 30, 2023, Payment Date Is September 29, 2023

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Tourism Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Aug 29, 2023

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Independent Chairman of the Board recently bought NZ$70k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 22%

Now 22% undervalued

Chief Financial Officer recently sold NZ$100k worth of stock

Now 21% undervalued

Now 21% undervalued

First half 2023 earnings released: EPS: NZ$0.15 (vs NZ$0.027 loss in 1H 2022)

Price target increased by 9.1% to NZ$4.86

Tourism Holdings Limited to Report First Half, 2023 Results on Feb 23, 2023

Chief Executive Officer recently sold NZ$552k worth of stock

Insufficient new directors

Chief Executive Officer exercised options to buy NZ$720k worth of stock.

Tourism Holdings Limited Provides Earnings Guidance for Fiscal 2023

Tourism Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 01, 2022

Price target increased to NZ$4.32

JUCY GROUP (2020) Limited entered into an agreement to acquire Certain ATL Assets from Tourism Holdings Limited (NZSE:THL) and Apollo Tourism & Leisure Ltd (ASX:ATL) for NZD 45 million.

Tourism Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Oct 10, 2022

GM of Finance & Acting CFO exercised options to buy NZ$235k worth of stock.

Chief Customer & Commercial Officer exercised options to buy NZ$233k worth of stock.

Price target increased to NZ$4.19

Full year 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Insufficient new directors

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Tourism Holdings Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 26, 2022

Price target decreased to NZ$3.73

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

Tourism Holdings Limited, Annual General Meeting, Apr 20, 2022

Chief Financial Officer exercised options to buy NZ$222k worth of stock.

Consensus forecasts updated

Price target increased to NZ$3.28