Stock Analysis

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Port of Tauranga Limited's (NZSE:POT) Mixed Fundamentals?

NZSE:POT
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Port of Tauranga (NZSE:POT) has had a rough three months with its share price down 8.0%. It seems that the market might have completely ignored the positive aspects of the company's fundamentals and decided to weigh-in more on the negative aspects. Fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes so it makes sense to study the company's financials. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Port of Tauranga's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Port of Tauranga

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Port of Tauranga is:

4.8% = NZ$102m ÷ NZ$2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every NZ$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of NZ$0.05.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Port of Tauranga's Earnings Growth And 4.8% ROE

On the face of it, Port of Tauranga's ROE is not much to talk about. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 4.8%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. On the other hand, Port of Tauranga reported a fairly low 4.1% net income growth over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So this could also be one of the reasons behind the company's low growth in earnings.

Next, on comparing Port of Tauranga's net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 4.1% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
NZSE:POT Past Earnings Growth May 24th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Port of Tauranga fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Port of Tauranga Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Port of Tauranga has a three-year median payout ratio of 89% (implying that it keeps only 11% of its profits), meaning that it pays out most of its profits to shareholders as dividends, and as a result, the company has seen low earnings growth.

Moreover, Port of Tauranga has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 91%. However, Port of Tauranga's ROE is predicted to rise to 6.3% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Port of Tauranga. While the company has posted a decent earnings growth, We do feel that the earnings growth number could have been even higher, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings at a higher rate of return. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Port of Tauranga is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.