Stock Analysis

Just Life Group Limited's (NZSE:JLG) 26% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Earnings

NZSE:JLG
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Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Just Life Group Limited (NZSE:JLG) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 36% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Just Life Group may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x, since almost half of all companies in New Zealand have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 30x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

For instance, Just Life Group's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Just Life Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NZSE:JLG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Just Life Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Just Life Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Just Life Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.1% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 34% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Just Life Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent earnings trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Just Life Group's P/E

Just Life Group's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Just Life Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its sliding earnings over the medium-term, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Just Life Group (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.