Stock Analysis

The Strong Earnings Posted By Hallenstein Glasson Holdings (NZSE:HLG) Are A Good Indication Of The Strength Of The Business

The subdued stock price reaction suggests that Hallenstein Glasson Holdings Limited's (NZSE:HLG) strong earnings didn't offer any surprises. Investors are probably missing some underlying factors which are encouraging for the future of the company.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:HLG Earnings and Revenue History October 3rd 2025
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A Closer Look At Hallenstein Glasson Holdings' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to August 2025, Hallenstein Glasson Holdings had an accrual ratio of -0.60. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NZ$73m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NZ$39.5m. Hallenstein Glasson Holdings shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Hallenstein Glasson Holdings' Profit Performance

Happily for shareholders, Hallenstein Glasson Holdings produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Hallenstein Glasson Holdings' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 54% annually, over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. So feel free to check out our free graph representing analyst forecasts.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Hallenstein Glasson Holdings' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hallenstein Glasson Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.