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Is Summerset Group Holdings Limited (NZSE:SUM) Potentially Undervalued?
Summerset Group Holdings Limited (NZSE:SUM), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NZSE. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Summerset Group Holdings’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out our latest analysis for Summerset Group Holdings
What's the opportunity in Summerset Group Holdings?
The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Summerset Group Holdings’s ratio of 32.18x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 31.78x, which means if you buy Summerset Group Holdings today, you’d be paying a relatively sensible price for it. And if you believe Summerset Group Holdings should be trading in this range, then there isn’t really any room for the share price grow beyond the levels of other industry peers over the long-term. Furthermore, Summerset Group Holdings’s share price also seems relatively stable compared to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This may mean it is less likely for the stock to fall lower from natural market volatility, which suggests less opportunities to buy moving forward.
What does the future of Summerset Group Holdings look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Summerset Group Holdings' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 87%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in SUM’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at SUM? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuate below the industry PE ratio?
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on SUM, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the optimistic forecast is encouraging for SUM, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Summerset Group Holdings as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Summerset Group Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NZSE:SUM
Summerset Group Holdings
Develops, owns, and operates integrated retirement villages in New Zealand and Australia.
Undervalued with acceptable track record.