Radius Residential Care Limited

NZSE:RAD Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$64.1m

Radius Residential Care Valuation

Is RAD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of RAD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: RAD (NZ$0.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NZ$0.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: RAD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RAD?

Key metric: As RAD is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for RAD. This is calculated by dividing RAD's market cap by their current revenue.
What is RAD's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesNZ$171.23m
Market CapNZ$64.11m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does RAD's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for RAD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.6x
PHL Promisia Healthcare
0.8xn/aNZ$19.5m
OCA Oceania Healthcare
2.2x8.9%NZ$579.4m
ARV Arvida Group
5.1xn/aNZ$1.2b
SUM Summerset Group Holdings
10.5x14.2%NZ$3.1b
RAD Radius Residential Care
0.4x3.0%NZ$64.1m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: RAD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (4.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does RAD's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Healthcare Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
RAD 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies3PS00.81.62.43.24+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: RAD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the Oceanic Healthcare industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is RAD's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

RAD PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio1.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: RAD is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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