Stock Analysis

With EPS Growth And More, Arvida Group (NZSE:ARV) Is Interesting

NZSE:ARV
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Like a puppy chasing its tail, some new investors often chase 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks' without revenue, let alone profit. But as Peter Lynch said in One Up On Wall Street, 'Long shots almost never pay off.'

So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Arvida Group (NZSE:ARV). Even if the shares are fully valued today, most capitalists would recognize its profits as the demonstration of steady value generation. In comparison, loss making companies act like a sponge for capital - but unlike such a sponge they do not always produce something when squeezed.

Check out our latest analysis for Arvida Group

Arvida Group's Earnings Per Share Are Growing.

If a company can keep growing earnings per share (EPS) long enough, its share price will eventually follow. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. We can see that in the last three years Arvida Group grew its EPS by 8.5% per year. That's a good rate of growth, if it can be sustained.

I like to see top-line growth as an indication that growth is sustainable, and I look for a high earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margin to point to a competitive moat (though some companies with low margins also have moats). I note that Arvida Group's revenue from operations was lower than its revenue in the last twelve months, so that could distort my analysis of its margins. While Arvida Group did well to grow revenue over the last year, EBIT margins were dampened at the same time. So it seems the future my hold further growth, especially if EBIT margins can stabilize.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings, and revenue, over time. Click on the chart to see the exact numbers.

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:ARV Earnings and Revenue History March 22nd 2022

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Arvida Group's future profits.

Are Arvida Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Like that fresh smell in the air when the rains are coming, insider buying fills me with optimistic anticipation. Because oftentimes, the purchase of stock is a sign that the buyer views it as undervalued. However, insiders are sometimes wrong, and we don't know the exact thinking behind their acquisitions.

Arvida Group top brass are certainly in sync, not having sold any shares, over the last year. But the bigger deal is that the Independent Director, Paul Ridley-Smith, paid NZ$122k to buy shares at an average price of NZ$1.96.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Arvida Group is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. To be specific, they have NZ$55m worth of shares. That shows significant buy-in, and may indicate conviction in the business strategy. Despite being just 4.6% of the company, the value of that investment is enough to show insiders have plenty riding on the venture.

Is Arvida Group Worth Keeping An Eye On?

As I already mentioned, Arvida Group is a growing business, which is what I like to see. On top of that, we've seen insiders buying shares even though they already own plenty. To me, that all makes it well worth a spot on your watchlist, as well as continuing research. You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 6 warning signs for Arvida Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

The good news is that Arvida Group is not the only growth stock with insider buying. Here's a list of them... with insider buying in the last three months!

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.