Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are Some Issues For New Zealand King Salmon Investments (NZSE:NZK) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

NZSE:NZK
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New Zealand King Salmon Investments Limited's (NZSE:NZK) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

See our latest analysis for New Zealand King Salmon Investments

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:NZK Earnings and Revenue History April 5th 2023

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, New Zealand King Salmon Investments increased the number of shares on issue by 290% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. Check out New Zealand King Salmon Investments' historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

How Is Dilution Impacting New Zealand King Salmon Investments' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

Unfortunately, we don't have any visibility into its profits three years back, because we lack the data. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. So you can see that the dilution has had a fairly significant impact on shareholders.

If New Zealand King Salmon Investments' EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that New Zealand King Salmon Investments' profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by NZ$522k in the last twelve months. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If New Zealand King Salmon Investments doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On New Zealand King Salmon Investments' Profit Performance

New Zealand King Salmon Investments suffered from unusual items which depressed its profit in its last report; if that is not repeated then profit should be higher, all else being equal. But unfortunately the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). That will weigh on earnings per share, even if it is not reflected in net income. Having considered these factors, we don't think New Zealand King Salmon Investments' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you'd like to know more about New Zealand King Salmon Investments as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for New Zealand King Salmon Investments (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be familiar with.

Our examination of New Zealand King Salmon Investments has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Zealand King Salmon Investments might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.