The a2 Milk Company Limited

NZSE:ATM Stock Report

Market Cap: NZ$4.6b

a2 Milk Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

a2 Milk is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 12.7% and 6.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 15.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 15.6% in 3 years.

Key information

12.7%

Earnings growth rate

15.4%

EPS growth rate

Food earnings growth18.7%
Revenue growth rate6.5%
Future return on equity15.6%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) After Its Full-Year Results

Aug 21
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) After Its Full-Year Results

Recent updates

Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) CEO Compensation For The Time Being

Nov 15
Shareholders Will Probably Hold Off On Increasing The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) CEO Compensation For The Time Being

Some Confidence Is Lacking In The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) As Shares Slide 26%

Nov 12
Some Confidence Is Lacking In The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) As Shares Slide 26%

Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Using Too Much Debt?

Nov 07
Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Using Too Much Debt?

Be Wary Of a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) And Its Returns On Capital

Oct 20
Be Wary Of a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) And Its Returns On Capital

The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Sep 14
The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up

Why a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Aug 26
Why a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Earnings Are Better Than They Seem

Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) After Its Full-Year Results

Aug 21
Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) After Its Full-Year Results

Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Jun 28
Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) P/E Ratio

Jun 12
Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) P/E Ratio

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Apr 16
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 09
Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Using Too Much Debt?

The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Feb 07
The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Some Confidence Is Lacking In The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) P/E

Dec 22
Some Confidence Is Lacking In The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) P/E

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Could Easily Take On More Debt

Dec 01
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Could Easily Take On More Debt

We Discuss Why The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

Nov 09
We Discuss Why The a2 Milk Company Limited's (NZSE:ATM) CEO Compensation May Be Closely Reviewed

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Oct 31
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) A Risky Investment?

Aug 23
Is a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) A Risky Investment?

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

Jul 28
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

May 24
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Seems To Use Debt Rather Sparingly

Returns On Capital At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Paint A Concerning Picture

Apr 25
Returns On Capital At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Paint A Concerning Picture

Is The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) Trading At A 47% Discount?

Apr 07
Is The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) Trading At A 47% Discount?

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM)

Jan 05
A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM)

The Returns On Capital At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Don't Inspire Confidence

Dec 21
The Returns On Capital At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Don't Inspire Confidence

Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 25
Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Calculating The Fair Value Of The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM)

Sep 11
Calculating The Fair Value Of The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM)

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Aug 29
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

We Think a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Jun 21
We Think a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Capital Allocation Trends At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Aren't Ideal

May 15
Capital Allocation Trends At a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Aren't Ideal

Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Feb 27
Does a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

Feb 09
a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

Nov 05
a2 Milk (NZSE:ATM) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital

We Like a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

Jul 29
We Like a2 Milk's (NZSE:ATM) Returns And Here's How They're Trending

The Consensus EPS Estimates For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) Just Fell Dramatically

May 16
The Consensus EPS Estimates For The a2 Milk Company Limited (NZSE:ATM) Just Fell Dramatically

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NZSE:ATM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (NZD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/20272,04823924326314
6/30/20261,92721520923315
6/30/20251,79918314616815
6/30/20241,673168235256N/A
3/31/20241,647167197216N/A
12/31/20231,620167160177N/A
9/30/20231,606161130144N/A
6/30/20231,591156101111N/A
3/31/20231,57914697107N/A
12/31/20221,56713793102N/A
9/30/20221,505130146153N/A
6/30/20221,444123199204N/A
3/31/20221,31571197200N/A
12/31/20211,18620195197N/A
9/30/20211,19650139143N/A
6/30/20211,205818289N/A
3/31/20211,404200163174N/A
12/31/20201,603320244258N/A
9/30/20201,667354332343N/A
6/30/20201,731388420427N/A
3/31/20201,613358377382N/A
12/31/20191,495328334337N/A
9/30/20191,398311310313N/A
6/30/20191,301295286289N/A
3/31/20191,200273254258N/A
12/31/20181,099252222227N/A
9/30/20181,011224224229N/A
6/30/2018923196226231N/A
3/31/2018825173N/A205N/A
12/31/2017728150N/A178N/A
9/30/2017639120N/A139N/A
6/30/201755091N/A100N/A
3/31/201751075N/A85N/A
12/31/201647060N/A70N/A
9/30/201641145N/A46N/A
6/30/201635330N/A21N/A
3/31/201628619N/A4N/A
12/31/20152198N/A-14N/A
9/30/20151873N/A-11N/A
6/30/2015155-2N/A-8N/A
3/31/2015143-1N/A-5N/A
12/31/2014131-1N/A-1N/A
9/30/20141210N/A0N/A
6/30/20141110N/A0N/A
3/31/20141082N/A1N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ATM's forecast earnings growth (12.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3%).

Earnings vs Market: ATM's earnings (12.7% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the NZ market (23.9% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ATM's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: ATM's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the NZ market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ATM's revenue (6.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ATM's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (15.6%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 04:43
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The a2 Milk Company Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Thomas KierathBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Jonathan SnapeBell Potter