Stock Analysis

Marlin Global's (NZSE:MLN) Dividend Will Be Increased To NZ$0.03

NZSE:MLN
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Marlin Global Limited's (NZSE:MLN) dividend will be increasing to NZ$0.03 on 24th of September. This will take the dividend yield from 5.2% to 6.4%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Marlin Global

Marlin Global's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Marlin Global was earning enough to cover the dividend, but free cash flows weren't positive. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 37.6% over the next 12 months. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 18% by next year, which is in a pretty sustainable range.

historic-dividend
NZSE:MLN Historic Dividend August 25th 2021

Marlin Global Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. Since 2011, the dividend has gone from NZ$0.08 to NZ$0.08. Dividend payments have been growing, but very slowly over the period. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. We are encouraged to see that Marlin Global has grown earnings per share at 38% per year over the past five years. A low payout ratio gives the company a lot of flexibility, and growing earnings also make it very easy for it to grow the dividend.

We'd also point out that Marlin Global has issued stock equal to 25% of shares outstanding. Regularly doing this can be detrimental - it's hard to grow dividends per share when new shares are regularly being created.

Our Thoughts On Marlin Global's Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Marlin Global's payments are rock solid. While Marlin Global is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Marlin Global that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our curated list of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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