Stock Analysis

Investors Give General Capital Limited (NZSE:GEN) Shares A 31% Hiding

NZSE:GEN
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The General Capital Limited (NZSE:GEN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 31%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 39% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, General Capital may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 5.8x, since almost half of all companies in New Zealand have P/E ratios greater than 21x and even P/E's higher than 37x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

General Capital certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

View our latest analysis for General Capital

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NZSE:GEN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 13th 2025
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on General Capital's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is General Capital's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, General Capital would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 126% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 175% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we find it odd that General Capital is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Having almost fallen off a cliff, General Capital's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of General Capital revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term earnings trends continue, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with General Capital, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.