Stock Analysis

Should You Use CDL Investments New Zealand's (NZSE:CDI) Statutory Earnings To Analyse It?

NZSE:CDI
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It might be old fashioned, but we really like to invest in companies that make a profit, each and every year. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. Today we'll focus on whether this year's statutory profits are a good guide to understanding CDL Investments New Zealand (NZSE:CDI).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months CDL Investments New Zealand made a profit of NZ$30.1m on revenue of NZ$88.6m. While it managed to grow its revenue over the last three years, its profit has moved in the other direction, as you can see in the chart below.

Check out our latest analysis for CDL Investments New Zealand

earnings-and-revenue-history
NZSE:CDI Earnings and Revenue History February 19th 2021

Of course, when it comes to statutory profit, the devil is often in the detail, and we can get a better sense for a company by diving deeper into the financial statements. As a result, we think it's well worth considering what CDL Investments New Zealand's cashflow (when compared to its earnings) can tell us about the nature of its statutory profit. Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CDL Investments New Zealand.

Examining Cashflow Against CDL Investments New Zealand's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

CDL Investments New Zealand has an accrual ratio of -0.14 for the year to December 2020. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of NZ$55m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of NZ$30.1m. CDL Investments New Zealand shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.

Our Take On CDL Investments New Zealand's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, CDL Investments New Zealand has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that CDL Investments New Zealand's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! On the other hand, its EPS actually shrunk in the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. While earnings are important, another area to consider is the balance sheet. If you're interested we have a graphic representation of CDL Investments New Zealand's balance sheet.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of CDL Investments New Zealand's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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